S&P 500 5,235.18 +1.02%EUR/USD 1.0840 +0.21%GBP/USD 1.2710 +0.14%USD/JPY 149.50 −0.18%BRENT $82.40 −0.81%BTC $67,800 −0.21%GOLD $2,341 +0.55%NASDAQ 16,420.55 +0.74%S&P 500 5,235.18 +1.02%EUR/USD 1.0840 +0.21%GBP/USD 1.2710 +0.14%USD/JPY 149.50 −0.18%BRENT $82.40 −0.81%BTC $67,800 −0.21%GOLD $2,341 +0.55%NASDAQ 16,420.55 +0.74%
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Money Talk

Finance and markets: business, quotes, gold, energy and releases.

Gold and Silver Edge Higher as Markets Weigh Fed Hike Odds

Traders are pricing in a 90% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end, a sharp shift that continues to weigh on precious metals despite a modest rebound. Spot gold climbed 1.21% to $4,190.60 an ounce, while silver rose 0.47% to $65.21 as crude oil prices retreated.

Gold and Silver Edge Higher as Markets Weigh Fed Hike Odds

The upward momentum in metals follows a decline in crude oil prices, spurred by reports of renewed negotiations between Washington and Tehran. While Vice President JD Vance described recent talks as a foundation for a final deal, geopolitical volatility remains a factor. The resulting drop in energy costs has provided a marginal benefit to gold, yet the broader financial environment remains dominated by the central bank's hawkish posture.

Yields on the 10-year Treasury note have climbed to 4.50%, up from 4.46% late last week. This rise in borrowing costs, coupled with a firmer dollar, acts as a ceiling for non-yielding assets. Market participants have rapidly adjusted their expectations for monetary policy, with the probability of a rate hike by year-end surging from 57% to nearly 90% in just seven days. Consequently, gold faces significant resistance near the $4,221 level, while silver remains sensitive to industrial risk appetite as equities show mixed performance.

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