Following Can Xue, the betting company identifies Canadian poet Anne Carson at 7.00 and Australian novelist Gerald Murnane at 8.00 as the most likely laureates. These figures reflect a recurring trend where authors favored by both literary critics and bettors maintain high rankings over multiple years. Robin Olenius, Head of PR at Betsson, notes that while commercially prominent names occasionally generate short-term buzz, they often fade from the top spots compared to these established favorites.

Betsson’s predictive record remains notable, having correctly identified recent winners like László Krasznahorkai, Jon Fosse, and Annie Ernaux among their top-three favorites. Despite these trends, the Nobel committee maintains a reputation for unpredictability. Previous laureates such as Bob Dylan and Han Kang rose to prominence despite long odds, while Abdulrazak Gurnah stunned the market by appearing as a winner without having been listed as a contender at all.